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REGIONAL AND SECTORAL EVIDENCE OF THE MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF LABOR REALLOCATION: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

机译:劳动力再分配宏观经济效应的区域和部门证据:面板数据分析

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摘要

This paper revisits the sectoral shifts hypothesis by examining unemployment fluctuations for 48 U.S. states\udover the period 1990:01–2011:12. We develop a panel approach that incorporates dynamics, parameter\udheterogeneity, aggregate factors and cross-sectional dependence. Our findings provide support for a positive\udand significant effect of the employment dispersion index on unemployment. This outcome is robust under alternative specifications and measures of employment dispersion. The empirical evidence corroborates the presence and relevance of cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity among states. The results show that, once unobserved common factors and cross-state heterogeneity are taken into account, labor reallocation has a significant effect on unemployment that is half the size of the estimate when cross sectional dependence is not taken into account.
机译:本文通过研究1990:01-2011:12期间美国48个州的失业波动来重新审视行业转移假说。我们开发了一种面板方法,该方法结合了动力学,参数\非均质性,聚集因子和截面依赖性。我们的研究结果为就业分散指数对失业的积极/显着影响提供了支持。在替代规范和就业分散措施下,这一结果是有力的。经验证据证实了各州之间横截面依赖性和异质性的存在和相关性。结果表明,一旦考虑到未观察到的共同因素和跨州异质性,劳动力再分配会对失业产生重大影响,而如果不考虑横截面依存关系,劳动力的重新安置将是估计值的一半。

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